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The Jim Shrader Blog ~ Riverbend School Zone

I’m a lousy handicapper

January 30th, 2008, 4:16 pm · Post a Comment · posted by jshrader

A few weeks ago a business associate (OK, my barber) and I tried to predict the futures of the presidential candidates. We each agreed on the successes of Obama and Clinton for the Democratic nod. They are in it to stay, and it’s their Democratic nomination to win or lose. Will it come down to the young, handsome, inexperienced Senator from Illinois, or the “my husband couldn’t get it done, but I can” Senator from the Empire State?
We agreed that John Edwards would stay close to the top. And he did, finishing third in the last three primaries. Problem is, they were distant third place finishes, and today Edwards “suspended his run” for the Democratic nomination. Suspended for how long? ‘Dunno. He didn’t endorse Clinton or Obama, so if he doesn’t like the outcome of the convention, maybe he’ll run as an independent.

Rudy Giuliani bowed out as well today from the Republican race. The former mayor of New York who generated as much dislike as like in the turbulent days following 9/11, just couldn’t tie together a cohesive campaign and pulled out before “Super Tuesday.” Don’t feel bad for him, though. He said in his going away speech that he had put several “lucrative” business deals on hold while running for the nomination, so he won’t be living in a cardboard box in Central Park.

The candidate that I missed completely was John McCain. I opined that in all the calls for “change” in Washington, John McCain seemed to represent more of the traditional presidential candidate. I thought he’d be gone before February 5th. Boy, was I wrong. McCain just keeps getting stronger and absolutely kicked butt in Florida. A poll released today even shows McCain beating Clinton or Obama if the election were held today. Maybe voters don’t really want change, but take comfort in real world experience. We’ll know Tuesday.

‘See why I don’t bet on horses?

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